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The Weapon That Scared America More Than Any Nuclear Bomb: Arasp Kazemiam’s Perspective on Power, War, and the Strait of Hormuz

The Weapon That Scared America More Than Any Nuclear Bomb


Disclaimer: This article represents the personal views of the writer, Arasp Kazemian (Araspus). All quotes from public figures are used strictly for commentary, criticism, and educational purposes. This is not affiliated with any government or political organization.

Introduction: Before the War, Everything Was Open

There is something deeply important that I need you to understand before we get into the details of this article. Something that the mainstream media seems to forget when it covers the ongoing conflict between the United States and Iran.

Before this war started — before the first American missile hit Iranian soil — the Strait of Hormuz was open. Completely, fully, unconditionally open.

Ships moved through it every single day. Oil tankers, cargo vessels, commercial ships from dozens of nations — they all passed freely through that narrow but enormously important waterway without any interference. The global economy depended on it. And it worked perfectly fine.

Then America decided to attack Iran.

And everything changed.

What happened next was not a military victory or a defeat in the traditional sense. What happened was something far more interesting, far more significant, and far more revealing about where real power lies in the twenty-first century. Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz. And the entire world — from Tokyo to Sydney, from Berlin to New York — felt it almost immediately.

This is the story of that moment. This is the story of a weapon more powerful than anything dropped on Hiroshima or Nagasaki. And this is the story of why an ordinary Iranian citizen feels compelled to write this article and speak directly to the world.

What Is the Strait of Hormuz and Why Does It Matter So Much?

Before we can fully appreciate what happened, we need to understand the geography and economics of the Strait of Hormuz. Because unless you understand what this waterway means to the global economy, you cannot understand the full impact of what Iran did — and why the reaction from Washington was so panicked and so revealing.

The Geography

The Strait of Hormuz is a narrow body of water located between the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman. At its narrowest point, it is only about 33 kilometers wide — roughly 21 miles. That is an incredibly small passageway for something that carries such an enormous percentage of the world’s energy supply.

On one side sits Iran. On the other side sits Oman and the United Arab Emirates. This tiny strip of water is one of the most strategically important geographic locations on the entire planet. It is, in the truest sense of the word, the throat of the global energy economy.

The Economics

Now here is where things get truly staggering. According to data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration and various international energy agencies, the Strait of Hormuz is responsible for transporting approximately 20 to 21 percent of the world’s total petroleum liquids consumption. Think about that number for a moment. One fifth of all the oil that the entire world uses every single day passes through this one narrow waterway.

We are talking about approximately 17 to 21 million barrels of oil per day flowing through this strait under normal circumstances. Countries like Japan, South Korea, China, and India depend on this route for the vast majority of their oil imports. European nations rely on it heavily as well. And despite America’s own domestic oil production, the global oil market is so interconnected that disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz send shockwaves through energy prices everywhere, including inside the United States itself.

When Iran closed the strait, it was not just blocking oil to its enemies. It was squeezing the throat of the entire global energy system. And the world gasped.

Why No Alternative Routes Are Good Enough

Some people ask — why can’t countries just use alternative routes? The answer is complicated, but the short version is this: the alternative routes that exist are either insufficient in capacity, significantly longer and more expensive, or simply not capable of handling the sheer volume of oil that normally flows through Hormuz.

The East-West Pipeline in Saudi Arabia, for example, can handle some overflow. But its capacity is nowhere near enough to replace the full volume of the strait. Other overland routes face their own logistical, political, and capacity limitations. The truth is that the global energy infrastructure was built around the assumption that Hormuz would always be open. When it wasn’t, there was no easy Plan B.

Trump’s Post That Shocked the World — A Direct Quote and Analysis

On the morning of April 5, 2026 — Easter Sunday — the President of the United States of America, Donald J. Trump, sat down and wrote a post on his Truth Social account. This post was published at 8:03 in the morning, Eastern Time.

I want you to read it carefully. Because this post — more than any military briefing, more than any press conference, more than any diplomatic cable — reveals the true psychological state of the most powerful office on earth in that moment.

The post read:

“Tuesday will be Power Plant Day, and Bridge Day, all wrapped up in one, in Iran. There will be nothing like it!!! Open the Fuckin’ Strait, you crazy bastards, or you’ll be living in Hell – JUST WATCH! Praise be to Allah. President DONALD J. TRUMP”

This post was confirmed real by multiple fact-checking organizations. It was visible on Trump’s verified Truth Social account. It was not a parody. It was not a hack. It was the sitting President of the United States of America, writing in all capitals, using profanity, threatening a sovereign nation on Easter Sunday morning.

What This Post Actually Tells Us

Let me be very clear about something. I am not sharing this post to mock Donald Trump personally. I am sharing it because of what it represents strategically and psychologically.

When the most powerful man in the world — the commander of the largest military force in human history, the leader of an economy worth more than 25 trillion dollars, the president of a nation with thousands of nuclear warheads — resorts to writing profanity-laced screeds on social media demanding that a smaller country “open” a waterway… something very interesting has happened.

The power dynamic has shifted.

Think about it this way. When has a president of the United States ever begged? When has the leader of the self-described “most powerful nation on earth” ever publicly, in writing, on a social media platform, demanded in such desperate and emotional terms that another country do something?

The answer, historically speaking, is almost never. Because powerful nations don’t beg. They don’t scream. They don’t write “JUST WATCH!” in capital letters on social media.

They act from a position of calm, deliberate strength.

The very existence of that post is the proof that Iran had found something genuinely effective. Not a nuclear weapon. Not a massive standing army. Just a closed waterway.

Hiroshima, Nagasaki, and the Definition of Power — A Comparison That Needs to Be Made

I want to talk about something that makes a lot of people uncomfortable. But it is historically important, and I think it is absolutely necessary for any honest conversation about power, war, and America’s place in the world.

In August of 1945, the United States dropped two atomic bombs on Japan. The first was dropped on Hiroshima on August 6. The second was dropped on Nagasaki on August 9. These were densely populated civilian cities.

The estimates of casualties vary, but historians generally agree that the immediate death toll in Hiroshima was somewhere between 70,000 and 80,000 people, with total deaths reaching perhaps 90,000 to 166,000 within the first few months due to radiation exposure and injuries. In Nagasaki, the immediate death toll was estimated at around 40,000, with total deaths reaching perhaps 60,000 to 80,000 in the following months.

These were not military targets in any traditional sense. These were cities full of ordinary people — families, children, elderly people, workers, students, mothers and fathers. Incinerated in seconds.

And America called this power. America called this the decision that ended the war. America justified it, defended it, and continues to this day to largely defend it in mainstream political and historical discourse.

I am not here to relitigate World War Two or to argue whether the decision was justified in its historical context. That is a complex debate with many dimensions, and it deserves its own careful treatment. What I want to do is draw a specific comparison that I think is deeply relevant to what happened with the Strait of Hormuz.

The Comparison

America used two of the most destructive weapons ever created by human beings and killed hundreds of thousands of civilians in two cities. It justified this as a demonstration of overwhelming power.

Iran closed one waterway. No bombs. No missiles aimed at civilians. No mass casualties. No cities destroyed.

And yet the economic shockwaves from closing the Strait of Hormuz were felt not in two cities but across the entire planet. Japan, which was the victim of those atomic bombs in 1945, felt the economic impact of the Strait closure just as severely as any other nation. Australia felt it. Germany felt it. France felt it. The United Kingdom felt it. And yes — ordinary Americans felt it at the gas pump, in their heating bills, in the price of goods at the supermarket.

Not two cities. The entire world.

With zero bombs.

With zero mass graves.

With zero war crimes under international law.

So I want to ask a genuine, honest, sincere question: which of these two things represents a greater demonstration of strategic power? Two atomic bombs that killed hundreds of thousands of people in two cities? Or the closure of one waterway that brought the global economy to its knees without killing a single person?

I think the answer to that question is worth sitting with for a while.

Did Killing Innocent Children Make You a Superpower? The Minaab Question

I need to talk about Minaab. Because this is personal. This is not abstract geopolitics. This is about real children who had names and faces and families.

Reports emerged during the conflict of civilian casualties including children in the Minaab region of Iran’s Hormozgan province. One figure that was widely reported was the deaths of approximately 170 young girls — innocent children who had nothing to do with geopolitics, nothing to do with oil prices, nothing to do with any military strategy.

They were children.

And I want to ask America — not the American government, not the Pentagon, not the defense contractors who profit from these wars — but ordinary American people, people with children of their own, people who would be devastated if something happened to their kids:

Did killing those children make your country more powerful?

Did eliminating those young lives advance American national security in any meaningful way?

Did those deaths make the world safer? Did they make oil cheaper? Did they bring democracy to Iran? Did they achieve any of the stated objectives that are used to justify military action?

Or did they simply create a generation of Iranians who will never forget, never forgive, and who will tell their own children and grandchildren what happened in Minaab?

History teaches us, over and over again, that killing civilians does not break the will of a people. It hardens it. It unifies it. It transforms ordinary people into people who have a personal stake in resistance.

America has learned this lesson in Vietnam. In Iraq. In Afghanistan. In every conflict where the gap between military power and political objectives became impossible to bridge with bombs alone.

And yet the lesson keeps needing to be learned again.

250 Years of Non-Aggression — A Historical Record That Nobody Talks About

Here is a fact that I want you to look up independently, because I understand that you may not believe it coming from an Iranian writer. Please, verify this yourself. Check the historical record.

The last time Iran — under any of its governments, under any of its rulers, in any of its various forms as a nation-state — invaded or militarily occupied another sovereign country was more than 250 years ago. We are talking about the era of Nader Shah Afshar in the 18th century.

Two hundred and fifty years.

Let that sink in for a moment.

In the same time period, the United States of America — a country that is less than 250 years old itself — has been involved in military invasions, occupations, or significant armed interventions in more than a dozen countries. Just in the last 70 years alone, we can document direct American military involvement in:

Korea (1950-1953), where the conflict killed millions of people and technically never officially ended.

Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia (1955-1975), where American bombing campaigns dropped more tonnage than was used in all of World War Two combined, killing millions of civilians across Southeast Asia.

Cuba (1961), where the CIA-backed Bay of Pigs invasion attempted to overthrow a sovereign government.

The Dominican Republic (1965), where American forces occupied the country.

Grenada (1983), where the United States invaded a small Caribbean nation.

Panama (1989), where American forces invaded and captured the country’s leader.

Iraq (1991), the first Gulf War, where American-led coalition forces launched a massive military campaign.

Yugoslavia (1999), where NATO — led by the United States — conducted an extensive bombing campaign.

Afghanistan (2001-2021), a twenty-year occupation that ended with the Taliban back in power, exactly where they started.

Iraq again (2003-2011), an invasion based on intelligence that turned out to be entirely fabricated, which destroyed the country’s infrastructure and contributed to the rise of ISIS.

Libya (2011), where American-led NATO intervention toppled a government and left the country in chaos that persists to this day.

Syria and Iraq (2014 onwards), ongoing military operations.

And now Iran (2026).

I have not even included the dozens of covert operations, CIA-backed coups, proxy wars, and regime change operations that the historical record documents. I have not included the 1953 overthrow of Iran’s democratically elected Prime Minister Mohammad Mosaddegh, engineered by American and British intelligence agencies, which set the stage for decades of instability in the region.

Just the direct, overt military operations in the list above represent more aggressive military action in 70 years than Iran has undertaken in 250 years.

And yet Iran is the one labeled as the aggressor. Iran is the one described as the destabilizing force. Iran is the one subjected to decades of sanctions, threats, and now outright military attack.

I am not asking you to love Iran. I am not asking you to agree with the Iranian government’s policies or its ideology. I am simply asking you to look at the historical record honestly and ask yourself whether the narrative you have been given accurately reflects the facts.

Why Ordinary Americans Are Paying for Their Politicians’ Mistakes

This is perhaps the part of this article that I feel most strongly about. Because the truth is, I don’t have any particular animosity toward ordinary American people.

American citizens did not vote for this war. They were not asked whether they wanted to invade Iran. They were not consulted on the decision to attack Iranian infrastructure. They did not choose to close the Strait of Hormuz. They did not decide to kill children in Minaab.

Their politicians made those decisions. Their defense industry lobbied for those decisions. Their intelligence agencies advocated for those decisions. And their media, in many cases, cheerled for those decisions.

But ordinary Americans are the ones paying the price.

When the Strait of Hormuz closed and global oil prices spiked, it was not the defense contractors who felt the pain. It was not the politicians who had to make different choices at the gas station. It was ordinary working Americans — people who drive to work, people who heat their homes, people who buy food that has been shipped across the country in trucks that run on diesel — who absorbed those costs directly into their household budgets.

This is one of the great recurring tragedies of modern geopolitics. The people who make the decisions about war rarely bear the personal costs of those decisions. And the people who bear the costs rarely had any meaningful say in making them.

I want to address ordinary Americans directly: your country’s foreign policy in the Middle East has not made you safer. It has not made you more prosperous. It has not brought stability to the region. It has not secured reliable energy supplies. It has not promoted democracy. After 70 years of intervention — from the overthrow of Mosaddegh in 1953 to the current war in 2026 — the region is more unstable than it has ever been, American credibility is at historic lows, and ordinary Americans are paying higher prices for energy while their country accumulates more debt to fund yet another war.

At what point does the evidence become overwhelming enough that the policy has to change?

The Israel Question — A Small Country With an Outsized Influence

I want to approach this topic carefully, because it is one that gets distorted in both directions. There are those who refuse to discuss it at all, treating any criticism of Israeli government policy as inherently illegitimate. And there are those who discuss it in ways that slide into genuine bigotry and hate, which is both morally wrong and strategically counterproductive.

I want to try to navigate between those two errors and speak honestly about something that I think deserves honest discussion.

Over the past several decades, the relationship between the United States and Israel has evolved in ways that raise serious questions about whose national interests are actually driving American Middle East policy.

Israel is a small country. Its total population is around 9 million people. Its GDP, while significant for its size, is a fraction of the American economy. Its military, while capable and well-equipped, is entirely dependent on American weapons, American funding, and American diplomatic protection.

And yet the influence of Israeli government priorities on American foreign policy — particularly in the Middle East — is disproportionate to any reasonable calculation of American national interest.

The American government gives Israel approximately 3.8 billion dollars in military aid per year, under a 10-year memorandum of understanding that was last renewed in 2016. Beyond that formal commitment, Israel receives various other forms of financial, technological, and diplomatic support. American politicians across both parties compete to demonstrate their pro-Israel credentials in ways that have no equivalent for any other foreign country.

American diplomats have vetoed United Nations Security Council resolutions critical of Israeli government actions dozens of times, even when those resolutions reflected international consensus.

And in the current conflict, serious questions have been raised about the extent to which Israeli strategic interests — specifically, the desire to neutralize Iran as a regional power — align with or diverge from genuine American national interests.

The question I want ordinary Americans to ask themselves is simply this: if America were designing its Middle East policy purely on the basis of American national interest — energy security, regional stability, protection of American lives, management of national debt — would that policy look anything like what it actually looks like today?

I think many honest Americans, if they think about it carefully, would have to admit that the answer is probably no.

This is not about antisemitism. This is not about hating Jewish people. This is about the legitimate and important question of whether the foreign policy of the world’s most powerful nation is being shaped primarily by the interests of its own citizens, or partly by the interests of a much smaller ally whose strategic situation is fundamentally different from America’s own.

American soldiers are dying in this conflict. American taxpayers are funding it. American consumers are paying higher energy prices because of it. And the question of who benefits and who bears the costs deserves an honest public conversation.

The Economic War America Could Not Win — Why Iran Was Different

The United States has become very practiced at a particular kind of war. It is the kind of war that works against countries like Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, and other nations with specific vulnerability profiles.

The formula, broadly speaking, goes like this: apply economic sanctions to weaken the target country’s economy and create popular discontent. Use air power to destroy military infrastructure and demonstrate overwhelming technological superiority. Support internal opposition groups. Deploy ground forces if necessary. Install a friendly government. Declare victory.

This formula has been applied, with variations, many times over the past several decades. And it has achieved mixed results at best — leaving behind unstable post-conflict environments in almost every case.

But Iran presented a fundamentally different challenge. Several factors made the standard playbook much harder to execute effectively.

Size and Population

Iran is a large country. With a population of over 85 million people and a land area of 1.6 million square kilometers, it is not a small, easily dominated state. Occupying Iran militarily would require resources that would dwarf the already enormous commitments made in Iraq and Afghanistan. The American military, already stretched thin by years of overseas deployments, was simply not in a position to contemplate a full-scale occupation.

Economic Resilience and Sanctions Experience

Iran has been living under American and international sanctions for over forty years. Since the Islamic Revolution of 1979, Iran has experienced various levels of economic sanctions, and over those four decades it has — out of necessity — developed significant capacity to adapt, to find workarounds, to build domestic alternatives to foreign-supplied goods and technology, and to maintain economic functioning under pressure that would cripple less experienced nations.

This does not mean sanctions have not hurt Iran. They have. Ordinary Iranians have paid enormous costs in terms of reduced access to goods, services, medicines, and economic opportunities. But the Iranian economy did not collapse under sanctions the way some policymakers appeared to expect. It adapted.

The Hormuz Card

And then there is the Strait of Hormuz. This is the asymmetric weapon that changes the entire strategic calculation. Most countries have no equivalent leverage. Iraq had oil but not a chokepoint. Afghanistan had nothing that the global economy needed. Libya had oil but not a strategic bottleneck.

Iran sits at the edge of the most important energy chokepoint in the world. And Iran has made clear, repeatedly over the years, that it considers the option of closing or disrupting the strait to be available to it if it considers its survival to be at stake.

This is not an abstract threat. It is a geographic reality. Iran’s coastline extends along the entire northern edge of the Strait of Hormuz. It has missile systems positioned there. It has naval assets in the region. And it has demonstrated, in the current conflict, both the capability and the willingness to close the strait when sufficiently provoked.

No amount of American air power can change that geography. You can bomb buildings. You can destroy missile launchers. But you cannot bomb away a country’s geographic position on the map.

This is why Iran’s strategic position is fundamentally different from that of the other countries where the American intervention formula has been applied. And this is why the current conflict has not followed the same trajectory as those other wars.

America cannot win the economic argument with Iran the way it has won it with smaller, more isolated nations. Because Iran holds the one card that gives it leverage over the entire global economy — not just over America, and not just over its regional neighbors.

A Timeline of the Conflict — How We Got Here

To understand the present situation fully, it is helpful to trace back the key events that led us to where we are today. I want to give you a brief timeline that puts the current war in its proper historical context.

The 1953 Coup — Where It Really Started

In 1953, Mohammad Mosaddegh was the democratically elected Prime Minister of Iran. He was a nationalist who believed that Iran’s oil resources should benefit the Iranian people rather than primarily benefit the Anglo-Iranian Oil Company, which is now known as BP.

Mosaddegh nationalized the Iranian oil industry. This was enormously popular with the Iranian public. It was also enormously unpopular with the British government and the American government, which feared the precedent it would set for other oil-producing countries.

In August 1953, the CIA and British intelligence service MI6 organized a coup that overthrew Mosaddegh’s democratically elected government and reinstated the Shah, Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, as the absolute ruler of Iran. This operation, known as Operation Ajax in the United States and Operation Boot in Britain, was one of the first major post-World War Two CIA covert operations.

The CIA itself has since acknowledged its role in the coup. It is documented historical fact. It is not conspiracy theory.

The consequences of that decision have echoed through the decades. The Shah’s rule, supported and maintained by American backing, was authoritarian and repressive. The SAVAK, his secret police, was notorious for torture and political imprisonment. Popular resentment built up over the following decades until it exploded in the Islamic Revolution of 1979.

And so when Iranians express deep distrust of American intentions, they are not being irrational. They are drawing on direct lived historical experience of what American interference in Iranian internal affairs actually looked like.

The Iran-Iraq War (1980-1988)

In 1980, Iraqi President Saddam Hussein — with significant support from the United States, which provided intelligence, weapons, and diplomatic cover — launched a full-scale invasion of Iran. This war lasted eight years. Estimates of total casualties on both sides range from 500,000 to over one million dead.

During this war, the United States provided Saddam Hussein with intelligence that helped Iraq use chemical weapons against Iranian forces and against Iraqi Kurdish civilians. The United States also, during this period, supplied dual-use materials that could be used in weapons development to Iraq.

Iran fought this war essentially alone, without the support that Iraq received from major powers. And Iran ultimately survived, at enormous human cost.

This is a relevant part of the historical context. When Iran’s leaders speak about the threat from America, they are not speaking from paranoia. They are speaking from the memory of a war in which America helped arm and support the country that invaded them.

Sanctions, Negotiations, and the JCPOA

In the 2010s, after years of escalating sanctions over Iran’s nuclear program, the Obama administration negotiated the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) — commonly known as the Iran nuclear deal — along with the other permanent members of the UN Security Council plus Germany.

Under this agreement, Iran agreed to significant limitations on its nuclear activities in exchange for relief from many of the international sanctions that had been crippling its economy.

In 2018, the Trump administration — in Trump’s first term — unilaterally withdrew from the JCPOA over the objections of America’s European allies, Britain, France, and Germany, as well as Russia and China. The administration reimposed sanctions and added new ones under a policy it described as “maximum pressure.”

The consequences were predictable and were, in fact, predicted by most experts: Iran’s economy suffered, Iranian public trust in the possibility of negotiated agreements with the United States collapsed, and the Iranian government resumed and expanded elements of its nuclear program that had been constrained under the deal.

The withdrawal from the JCPOA is one of the most significant policy decisions that contributed to the current crisis. By demonstrating that America would not honor a negotiated agreement when a new administration came to power, it made it almost impossible for Iran to trust any future negotiations.

The Lead-Up to the Current War

The specific events that triggered the current military conflict are detailed in contemporary news coverage and are beyond the scope of this article to cover comprehensively. What is relevant for our purposes is the broader strategic logic.

Iran did not start this war. The United States made a series of decisions — sanctions that targeted the Iranian economy, threats, assassinations of Iranian military figures, support for Israeli operations against Iranian assets — that gradually escalated the situation beyond the point where Iran’s leadership felt it could absorb more pressure without responding.

Whether those American decisions were wise or unwise, whether they were proportionate or disproportionate, whether they served American national interests — these are legitimate questions that Americans themselves should be asking.

The Voice of Arasp Kazemian — Why I Am Writing This

I want to step back from the geopolitical analysis for a moment and speak more personally. Because this article is not ultimately about statistics and historical dates. It is about people.

I am an ordinary Iranian citizen. I am not a member of any political organization. I do not represent the Iranian government. I do not speak for the Islamic Republic. I have my own complicated feelings about my own country’s government, as most Iranians do — feelings that are none of your business and none of America’s either.

What I am is a person who has watched this war unfold, who has worried about friends and family members, who has seen the economic impact of both years of sanctions and the current conflict on ordinary Iranians who simply want to live their lives, raise their families, pursue their dreams, and be part of the modern world.

I have watched as my country — which, whatever its flaws, is a country of 85 million people with an ancient and rich civilization, a country of poets and mathematicians and scientists and artists — has been caricatured, demonized, and reduced in Western media to a cartoon of evil.

I have watched as economic sanctions designed to create pressure on the Iranian government have instead primarily hurt ordinary Iranians — people who cannot access medicines, who have seen the value of their savings destroyed by currency collapse, who cannot travel freely or conduct international business.

And I have watched as my country has been attacked militarily, with strikes on civilian infrastructure that international law experts have described as potentially constituting war crimes.

I am writing this because the world deserves to hear a perspective that is not filtered through either American government talking points or Iranian government propaganda. I am writing this as a human being, speaking to other human beings, trying to cut through the noise and say something honest and real.

What Does Real Power Look Like in the 21st Century?

I want to return to the central question that animates this article. What does real power look like in the twenty-first century?

The twentieth century’s model of power was relatively straightforward. Power meant the ability to project military force. It meant tanks and aircraft and nuclear weapons and the capacity to destroy things very efficiently and at great distances. The United States built the most formidable military machine in human history on this model, and for most of the second half of the twentieth century, that model worked. It deterred the Soviet Union. It won wars. It enforced American preferences across the globe.

But something has been changing. The twenty-first century has revealed some significant limitations to the pure military power model.

Military power is most effective when there is a clear military objective that can actually be achieved through military means. Destroy a specific target. Defeat a conventional army in the field. These are things that military power does very well.

But what happens when the objective is less clearly achievable through military means? What happens when the goal is to change the behavior of a population of 85 million people who have been trained by decades of hardship to be resilient? What happens when destroying military infrastructure does not translate into political submission?

What happened with the Strait of Hormuz points toward a different model of power that is increasingly relevant in the modern era. Call it economic leverage. Call it strategic geography. Call it asymmetric capability. Whatever you call it, the basic principle is the same: the ability to impose costs on the global system that are disproportionate to the size of the actor imposing them.

Iran is not a superpower in the traditional sense. It does not have the military capacity to project force globally. It cannot invade the United States. It cannot bomb New York.

But it can close the Strait of Hormuz. And closing the Strait of Hormuz can make a twenty-five trillion dollar economy scream.

That is a kind of power. And it is a kind of power that does not go away when you bomb buildings or destroy missile sites.

The Media Narrative and What It Leaves Out

One of the most important things I want to address in this article is the gap between the narrative that most Western audiences have been given about this conflict and the fuller picture that emerges when you look at the historical record honestly.

The dominant narrative goes roughly like this: Iran is a dangerous, radical, theocratic regime that poses an existential threat to regional stability and to American security. It sponsors terrorism. It seeks nuclear weapons. It is the aggressor. America is responding defensively to protect itself and its allies.

Every element of that narrative contains some truth. Iran’s government is authoritarian and has a record of human rights abuses. Iranian-backed groups have been involved in violent activities across the region. Iran’s nuclear program raises legitimate questions that deserve serious attention.

But the narrative is also profoundly incomplete in ways that matter enormously.

It leaves out the 1953 coup. It leaves out American support for Saddam Hussein’s chemical weapons use against Iran. It leaves out the withdrawal from the JCPOA. It leaves out the decades of sanctions that have targeted ordinary Iranians. It leaves out Israel’s regular military strikes on Iranian assets in Syria and elsewhere. It leaves out the assassination of Iranian scientists and military figures. It leaves out the full context of what “defensive” American actions actually look like from the Iranian side of the equation.

A person who only receives the incomplete narrative cannot make genuinely informed judgements about the conflict. They cannot meaningfully evaluate whether American policy is working, whether it is wise, or whether it serves their own interests.

This is not unique to coverage of Iran. The same incompleteness characterizes media coverage of almost every American military conflict. There is almost always a simplified villain-and-hero narrative that serves certain political and institutional interests, and that narrative almost always omits the historical context that would complicate the story.

I am not saying that the media is simply lying. I am saying that the selection of which facts to include and which to exclude from a story is itself a powerful editorial decision that shapes the conclusions audiences draw.

And I am saying that the fuller picture is worth seeking out — for your own sake, as someone who lives in a democracy and whose tax money and whose country’s soldiers are involved in this conflict.

What Iranians Actually Want — A Perspective You Rarely Hear

Let me tell you something about ordinary Iranians that does not fit neatly into either the Western narrative or the Iranian government’s narrative.

Ordinary Iranians — the vast majority of them — do not hate Americans. Poll after poll, even under difficult methodological conditions, has consistently shown that Iranians have more positive attitudes toward ordinary American people than the geopolitical situation between the two governments might suggest.

Iranians are deeply connected to American culture. Hollywood films, American music, American technology — these are all enormously popular in Iran, including among people who are politically opposed to American foreign policy. The irony and paradox of this situation is not lost on Iranians themselves.

What ordinary Iranians want, in the broadest and most honest terms, is what most people in most countries want: economic opportunity, the ability to live their lives with dignity, access to education and healthcare, the freedom to travel and to communicate with the rest of the world, and a future that their children can look forward to.

Decades of sanctions have made many of these things harder. The current war has made some of them temporarily impossible.

And here is the thing that I want American readers to understand most clearly: every bomb that falls on Iran, every civilian death, every economic hardship caused by sanctions and conflict — these do not weaken popular support for resistance to American pressure. They strengthen it. History, including American history, shows this pattern consistently.

The Marshall Plan, which rebuilt Western Europe after World War Two, was one of the most strategically successful things America ever did. It turned former enemies into lasting allies by investing in their recovery and treating them with dignity. That is the version of American power that genuinely works.

Bombs and sanctions produce the opposite effect. They create resentment, they create martyrs, and they create generations of people who have a personal stake in opposing American hegemony.

A Message to Ordinary Americans From an Ordinary Iranian

If there is one thing I want ordinary Americans to take from this article, it is this:

The interests of ordinary American citizens and the interests of the political and corporate establishments that design American foreign policy are not the same thing.

American defense contractors profit enormously from war. The more weapons that are used, the more weapons that need to be replaced, the more contracts that are signed, the more profits that flow to shareholders and executives. The defense industry has no economic interest in peace. It has enormous economic interest in continued conflict.

American politicians use foreign policy crises to rally domestic political support, to distract from domestic problems, and to project strength and decisiveness. War has historically been useful for governments facing internal pressures. It is not a coincidence that military escalations often occur during periods of domestic political difficulty.

American media organizations benefit from conflict narratives in terms of audience engagement and advertising revenue. Crisis sells attention. Nuanced historical context does not.

None of these institutional interests align with the interests of ordinary American citizens who simply want to pay reasonable prices for energy, who do not want their family members to come home from overseas in caskets, and who would prefer that their country’s national debt not continue growing at unsustainable rates to fund wars with no clear achievable objective.

I am not asking you to agree with everything the Iranian government does. I am not asking you to become an advocate for Iranian interests. I am asking you to think critically about whose interests are actually served by the current conflict, and whether those interests are yours.

The Path Forward — Is There a Better Way?

I want to end on something other than pure criticism. Because criticism without any vision of an alternative is ultimately just complaint. And I think it is worth thinking about what a more rational, more humane, more genuinely effective approach to the situation might look like.

The fundamental issue is this: the United States and Iran have deep-seated tensions that go back to 1953, that have been inflamed by decades of mutual hostility, and that will not be resolved through military force. History has already demonstrated this. Multiple administrations have tried variations of the maximum pressure and military deterrence approach, and none of them have achieved the stated goals of changing Iranian behavior or bringing about the kind of political change that American policymakers say they want.

The one approach that showed genuine promise — the JCPOA negotiated under Obama — was abandoned not because it failed but because a new administration with different political priorities decided to walk away from it.

If the goal is genuinely to reduce tensions, promote regional stability, and protect American interests in the long term, the evidence from history suggests that diplomacy, engagement, and the building of genuine economic and cultural connections are far more likely to succeed than continued escalation.

This is not naive idealism. This is the lesson of Germany and Japan, which went from being America’s most implacable enemies to its closest allies within a generation — through the application of investment, engagement, and respect for human dignity.

The questions are whether the political will exists to try a different approach, and whether the institutional interests that benefit from continued conflict can be overcome by the democratic will of ordinary citizens.

Those are ultimately questions that Americans have to answer for themselves. But they are questions that deserve to be asked loudly, persistently, and without the constraints of narratives designed by people whose interests are not your own.

Conclusion — The Strait Is the Message

Let me bring this back to where we started. Before this war, the Strait of Hormuz was open. The world’s oil flowed freely. Ships moved without interruption. And America had not yet had to confront the reality that its overwhelming military power could not solve every strategic problem.

Then America attacked Iran. And Iran closed the strait.

And in that moment — in the spectacle of the President of the United States screaming profanity on social media, begging a country he had just attacked to “open the Fuckin’ Strait” — something was revealed.

Real power in the twenty-first century is not only about the capacity to destroy things. It is about leverage. It is about geography. It is about the ability to impose costs that cannot simply be bombed away.

Iran, without a single nuclear weapon, without a military that can match America’s on a conventional battlefield, demonstrated leverage over the entire global economy that no amount of American air power can eliminate.

That is not something to celebrate in terms of the human suffering that accompanies any conflict. The closure of the strait has hurt ordinary people in many countries. The war itself has killed people on all sides who deserved to live. None of this is good.

But it is something to understand. Because until America’s policymakers, its media, and its citizens understand it — really understand it, in its full historical and strategic context — they will keep making the same mistakes, and ordinary people on both sides will keep paying the price.

The strait is not just a waterway. It is a message. And the message is that the world has changed.

The Human Cost on Both Sides — A Truth That Gets Lost in Political Narratives

War is not an abstraction. War is not a geopolitical chess game played by rational actors who calmly weigh costs and benefits and make optimal decisions. War is people dying. War is families destroyed. War is children growing up without parents, and parents burying children. War is trauma that echoes through generations.

I want to spend a few paragraphs on this because I think it is easy — especially when you are reading analysis of geopolitical strategy and economic leverage — to lose sight of the human dimension.

On the Iranian side, this conflict has meant airstrikes on infrastructure. It has meant power outages in civilian neighborhoods. It has meant bridges destroyed that ordinary people used to get to work and to school and to hospitals. It has meant, as I mentioned earlier, the deaths of children in Minaab and in other places that received less international media attention.

It has also meant psychological terror. The experience of living through a period when you do not know if tonight there will be explosions, if the power will be on, if the infrastructure that your daily life depends on will still be functioning — this is a form of suffering that is real even when it does not produce visible physical injuries.

On the American side, military families are experiencing the unique and terrible anxiety of having loved ones in a conflict zone. Soldiers are coming home changed by what they have seen and done. Some are not coming home at all. And ordinary American citizens are absorbing economic costs in their household budgets without having been asked whether they consider those costs worth paying for the stated objectives.

And across the wider world, developing nations that depend heavily on affordable energy are being squeezed by the economic consequences of a conflict between two countries whose dispute has nothing to do with them. Families in South Asia, in sub-Saharan Africa, in Southeast Asia, are paying more for fuel and food because two governments — neither of which represents their interests — are locked in a conflict that neither seems capable of ending.

This is the full human cost. It deserves to be acknowledged.

Lessons From History — What Happens When Empires Overextend

I want to draw one more historical parallel that I think is genuinely instructive for understanding the current situation.

Throughout history, there is a recurring pattern that historians have documented in the rise and fall of great powers. The pattern goes roughly like this: a dominant power achieves a position of overwhelming military and economic superiority. It uses that superiority to project influence globally, to maintain order on its own terms, and to suppress challenges to its dominance. For a period, this works. The dominant power’s will is imposed, and most challenges are deterred or defeated.

But then something begins to happen. The costs of maintaining global dominance start to accumulate. Military commitments multiply. Wars that were supposed to be quick and decisive drag on for years or decades. The financial cost of maintaining military bases around the world, of funding proxy conflicts, of replacing weapons systems used in operations — all of this begins to strain even the most powerful economy.

Meanwhile, the rest of the world is not standing still. Other nations are developing their own capabilities. They are learning from the dominant power’s methods and developing asymmetric responses to them. They are building economic relationships that reduce their dependence on the dominant power’s goodwill. They are, in short, adapting.

The historian Paul Kennedy described this dynamic as “imperial overstretch” in his influential book “The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers.” The basic argument is that great powers tend to acquire military commitments that eventually outrun their economic capacity to sustain those commitments, leading to relative decline.

The United States today is carrying a national debt of over 36 trillion dollars. A significant portion of that debt has been accumulated through military spending and the costs of the various wars and interventions of the past several decades. The interest payments on that debt alone represent an enormous drain on resources that could otherwise be invested in infrastructure, education, healthcare, and the domestic foundations of long-term national strength.

I am not predicting the imminent decline of the United States. America remains an enormously powerful and resilient country with tremendous advantages in technology, innovation, institutional depth, and human capital. But the pattern that Kennedy described is worth being aware of. And the current conflict in Iran — the costs it is imposing, the objectives it is failing to achieve clearly, the resentment it is generating globally — fits the pattern of overstretch more than it fits the pattern of successful power projection.

What the Rest of the World Is Watching

One thing that I think often gets lost in American-centric coverage of American foreign policy is the perspective of the rest of the world — the vast majority of humanity that is neither American nor Iranian and that is watching these events unfold with their own concerns and calculations.

Much of the Global South — the nations of Africa, Latin America, and Asia that are not closely aligned with either the United States or its adversaries — has been watching American behavior in the Middle East with a mixture of concern and calculation.

For many of these nations, the American narrative of acting as the defender of international norms and the rule of law rings hollow when they observe that the same country that invokes international law to criticize its adversaries has itself invaded countries on the basis of fabricated intelligence, has withdrawn from international agreements, and has conducted operations that international law experts describe as potentially illegal.

This does not mean these countries support Iran. Most of them have no particular interest in taking sides. What it means is that American soft power — the ability to lead through moral authority and persuasion rather than through force — has been significantly eroded by the patterns of American behavior over the past several decades.

Soft power matters enormously in a world where the most consequential decisions — about trade relationships, about currency arrangements, about participation in international institutions — are made through persuasion rather than coercion. A world where America is seen as one powerful actor among several, rather than as the indispensable nation whose judgment and values are trusted globally, is a world where American interests are harder to advance.

The current conflict is accelerating that erosion. Every image of bombed civilian infrastructure in Iran, every report of civilian casualties, every screaming social media post from the White House — these things are being watched by billions of people around the world who are drawing their own conclusions about American leadership and American values.

That is a cost that does not show up in the defense budget. But it is real, and it is significant, and it will shape the international environment that Americans and their children will have to navigate for decades.

About the Author

This article was written by a philosophy scholar, Arasp Kazemian, known as Araspus, who has no affiliation with any political organization or government. The views expressed here are entirely personal and represent one citizen’s attempt to share an honest perspective on events that have directly affected millions of lives.

Sources and Further Reading

Readers who want to dig deeper into the historical and strategic context discussed in this article are encouraged to explore:

  • Declassified CIA documents on Operation Ajax (the 1953 Iranian coup), available through the National Security Archive at George Washington University
  • The U.S. Energy Information Administration’s data on the Strait of Hormuz
  • The text of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA)
  • Historical scholarship on American military interventions since World War Two
  • Independent journalism on the current conflict from multiple international news sources

This article is published for educational, commentary, and political analysis purposes. All quotes from public figures are reproduced under fair use for the purpose of criticism and commentary. The author Mr. Arasp Kazemian does not endorse violence against any person or group.

 

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